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Mayberry Investments Limited is a cashless institution.
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Consumer Price Index- April 2018.

May 17,2018

The consumer price index for the month of April 2018 declined for the third consecutive month, resulting in an inflation rate of -0.4%, according to The Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN). The Consumer Price Index for the month moved to 247.0 relative to the 248.1 reported for March 2018.  This decline was largely attributed to the movement in the index for the division ‘Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels’ which declined by 4.3%. Inflation within the Greater Kingston Metropolitan Area, Other Urban Centres and Rural Areas all registered negative movements in their index, declining by 0.3%, 0.4% and 0.5% respectively.

‘Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels’ division recorded a decline of 4.3% in its index for April 2018. This was a result of the group ‘Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels’ decreasing 8.0% following an increase of 5.5% in the month of March 2018. According to STATIN, this movement was due to the “reduction on the rates for electricity.” In contrast, increases in the water and sewage rates resulted in the group ‘Water Supply and Miscellaneous Services Related to the Dwelling’ to increase by 0.7 %. Lastly, the index for the other group ‘Rentals for Housing’ recorded a 0.1% increase, while ‘Maintenance and Repair of Dwellings’ recorded a negligible movement.

The index for the ‘Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages’ division recorded a negligible movement in its index for April 2018, following a 1.0% decline in March 2018. This resulted from the movements within the ‘Food’ and ‘Non Alcoholic Beverages’ group. Within the ‘Food’ group, the class ‘Vegetables and Starchy Foods’ fell 0.2% which was influenced by a 0.4% fall in the sub-class ‘Vegetables’. According to STATIN, this was as a result of “the prices for some produce such as tomato, carrot and cabbage continued to fall.” This was however offset by the upward movement in the sub-class ‘Starch Foods’ by 0.5%.  Within the ‘Non-Alcoholic Beverages’ group the class ‘Coffee, Tea, and Cocoa’ and ‘Mineral Waters, Soft Drinks, Fruit and Vegetable Juices’ recorded an increase of 0.1%.

The indexes for ‘Clothing and Footwear’ and ‘Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household’ both increased by 0.2% for April 2018. This increase in the index ‘Clothing and Footwear’ was mainly due to the 0.3% increase in the group ‘Clothing’ while ‘Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household’ index was as a result of a 0.2% increase in each of the groups ‘Household Appliances’ and ‘Goods and Services for Routine Household Maintenance’

The division ‘Health’, ‘Restaurants and Accommodation Services’ and ‘Miscellaneous Goods and Services’ all grew by 0.1% for April 2018. The movement in the index ‘Health’, this was as a result of “upward movements in the cost for ‘Health Services’. The movement in the index “‘Restaurants and Accommodation Services’ was mainly “as a result of higher prices for meals consumed away from home” while ‘Miscellaneous Goods and Services’ grew due to the “increase in the cost for some grooming services”.

The division ‘Transport’ also climbed by 0.8% in its index for April 2018. According to STATIN, this was as a result of the “increased prices for petrol and its related products”. Notably, the other divisions ‘Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco’, ‘Communication’, ‘Education’, and ‘Recreation and Culture’ all recorded a negligible movement for March 2018.

The Inflation rate year to date is -0.7%, while the point-to-point rate (April 2017 – April 2018) and fiscal year 2018/ 2019 was 3.2% and -0.4% respectively. Individual divisions saw the following changes:

  1. Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages: (0.0%)
  2. Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco: (0.0%)
  3. Clothing and Footwear: (0.2%)
  4. Housing, Water, Electricity, gas and Other Fuels: (-4.3%)
  5. Furnishing, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance: (0.2%)
  6. Health: (0.1%)
  7. Transport: (0.8%)
  8. Communication: (0.0%)
  9. Recreation and Culture: (0.0%)
  10. Education: (0.0%)
  11. Restaurants and Accommodation Services: (0.1%)
  12. Miscellaneous Goods and services: (0.1%)

Disclaimer:

Analyst Certification -This research report is for information purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation (s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.

Company Disclosure -The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. You are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Mayberry may effect transactions or have positions in securities mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Mayberry may have positions and effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein.

 

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