Overseas Headlines – May 19, 2025

May 19, 2025

United States:

Treasuries, Dollar Fall as Moody’s Sharpens Focus on US Debt

 

Long-dated Treasuries fell on Monday as investor attention turned to the US’ ballooning debt after Moody’s Ratings stripped the nation of its last top credit rating.

 

The 30-year yield rose as much as nine basis points to 5.03%, the highest since November 2023. The benchmark 10-year rate climbed seven basis points to 4.55%.

 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/long-dated-treasuries-fall-as-moody-s-sharpens-focus-on-us-debt?srnd=phx-fixed-income

 

Europe:

Euro-Area Inflation to Fall Below 2% on US Tariffs, EU Predicts

 

Euro-area inflation will fall below the European Central Bank’s target next year because of fallout from US trade policies, according to the European Commission.

 

Consumer-price growth will slow to the 2% goal by the middle of this year and average only 1.7% in 2026, the EU’s executive arm said in its spring forecast released on Monday.

 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/euro-area-inflation-to-fall-below-2-on-us-tariffs-eu-predicts?srnd=phx-fixed-income

 

 

Asia:

China Consumption Miss Overshadows Factory Strength Amid Tariffs

 

China’s industrial output expanded faster than expected in April while consumption disappointed, highlighting the challenges facing the world’s second-largest economy despite a quick de-escalation of trade tensions with the US.

 

Industrial output climbed 6.1% year on year in April, slowing from the prior month but far exceeding the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of analysts.

 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-19/china-s-factory-output-grows-more-than-forecast-despite-tariffs?srnd=phx-economics-v2

 

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